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The Paradox of Rising Rates, Assets Surge for the Ultra Wealthy, Student Loan Repayments Begin
The Paradox of Rising Rates Higher rates, in theory, can slow down a red-hot economy. But things don’t always work as planned… For many companies…
Sep 20, 2023
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Timothy Chang
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The Paradox of Rising Rates, Assets Surge for the Ultra Wealthy, Student Loan Repayments Begin
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August 2023
Theft Adds to Retail Woes, Housing Market Turbulence, Workplace Evolution Accelerates
Rising Theft Concerns Amid Market Optimism in Consumer Sector The consumer discretionary sector is at two-month lows as commentary from retailers raised…
Aug 23, 2023
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Timothy Chang
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Theft Adds to Retail Woes, Housing Market Turbulence, Workplace Evolution Accelerates
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April 2023
OPEC+ Surprise Production Cut: Implications and Market Reactions, Where to Find Alpha in a Macro Market, The Case for Staying Invested
OPEC's Production Cut: Implications and Market Reactions In 2020, the Saudi Energy Minister warned traders against betting heavily in the oil market and…
Apr 4, 2023
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Timothy Chang
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OPEC+ Surprise Production Cut: Implications and Market Reactions, Where to Find Alpha in a Macro Market, The Case for Staying Invested
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March 2023
'Ghost' Job Listings and Employment Scams Soar, History Implies Rate Cut Could Come Sooner Than Later, Money Market Inflows Raise Recession…
In past posts (see below), we’ve talked extensively about how the robust labor market may not be as hot as it seems. Even though there were 10.8 million…
Mar 30, 2023
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Timothy Chang
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'Ghost' Job Listings and Employment Scams Soar, History Implies Rate Cut Could Come Sooner Than Later, Money Market Inflows Raise Recession Risk
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Takeaways from Senate Hearing on Recent Bank Failures and the Potential Effects of AI on Economic Growth/Productivity
Today the US Senate Banking Committee held a hearing about recent bank failures with regulators from the Federal Reserve. Here were the highlights from…
Mar 28, 2023
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Timothy Chang
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Takeaways from Senate Hearing on Recent Bank Failures and the Potential Effects of AI on Economic Growth/Productivity
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SVB Finally Acquired, Financial Risk Lying Everywhere, Mixed Signals Coming from the Housing Market
Silicon Valley Bank has been acquired! The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) entered into a purchase and assumption agreement for all…
Mar 27, 2023
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Timothy Chang
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SVB Finally Acquired, Financial Risk Lying Everywhere, Mixed Signals Coming from the Housing Market
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FOMC Analysis and Breakdown: Fed Raises Rates by 25 bps, 'Banking System is Sound', Powell and Yellen Give Contadictory Messages...
Yesterday, the Fed raised rates by 25bps, bringing the fed funds rate to a target range of 4.75% to 5%. Here were some notable revisions to the FOMC…
Mar 23, 2023
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Timothy Chang
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FOMC Analysis and Breakdown: Fed Raises Rates by 25 bps, 'Banking System is Sound', Powell and Yellen Give Contadictory Messages...
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Banks Scramble For Liquidity, US Looks to Guarantee All Bank Deposits If Crisis Grows, Trouble Brewing in Commercial RE...
A couple of days ago, we discussed how the banks have been borrowing record amounts from the Fed… Over the past 2 weeks, the Fed’s balance sheet has…
Mar 21, 2023
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Timothy Chang
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Banks Scramble For Liquidity, US Looks to Guarantee All Bank Deposits If Crisis Grows, Trouble Brewing in Commercial RE...
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UBS acquires Credit Suisse, Central Banks Inject More Liquidity, Equities Stay Expensive, Tech Sees Major Inflows...
The big news of the weekend was UBS's acquisition of Credit Suisse. UBS will be paying CHF 3bn (US$3.25 billion), or 0.76 per share, specifically…
Mar 20, 2023
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Timothy Chang
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UBS acquires Credit Suisse, Central Banks Inject More Liquidity, Equities Stay Expensive, Tech Sees Major Inflows...
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Banks Borrow Most Since 2008, First Republic Bailed Out, ECB Hikes 50 bps, Recession Odds Climb...
And just like that, I guess quantitative tightening is over. Over the past 2 weeks, the Fed’s balance sheet has expanded by $300 billion, which has…
Mar 17, 2023
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Timothy Chang
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Banks Borrow Most Since 2008, First Republic Bailed Out, ECB Hikes 50 bps, Recession Odds Climb...
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Credit Suisse Backstopped, The Macro Impact of Small Bank Stress, and More Market Technicals...
Contagion from US bank stress has officially spilled over to Europe, specifically Credit Suisse. Wednesday saw Credit Suisse’s stock sink to record lows…
Mar 16, 2023
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Timothy Chang
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Credit Suisse Backstopped, The Macro Impact of Small Bank Stress, and More Market Technicals...
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Welcome to Quantitative Edge!
No Sensationalism. Just Data.
Mar 16, 2023
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Timothy Chang
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Welcome to Quantitative Edge!
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